Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 92%
Pronosticadores
29
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado16 ago 25, 9:06 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketUkrainian Premier League: 2026-27 Runner-Up
PolymarketReglas
reference UN or Wikipedia for resolution
- Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if by 23:59:59 UTC on December 31, 2026 at least one of the following is true:
- The UN Treaty Collection (UNTS) lists a bilateral instrument between Ukraine and the Russian Federation that explicitly ends the armed conflict (e.g., “peace treaty,” “peace agreement,” or an armistice/cessation of hostilities that states it ends the war) and shows it entered into force on or before the deadline.
- The effective “entry into force” date controls, even if UNTS posts it later.
- Primary source: UN Treaty Collection/UNTS search.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 470,8 mil €
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- September 30+1.0pt80%
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- 100,1 mil €
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- July 18+0.3pt100%
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- Volumen total
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Russo-Ukrainian War ends officially by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 92% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Russo-Ukrainian War ends officially by end of 2026??
- Está previsto que Russo-Ukrainian War ends officially by end of 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Russo-Ukrainian War ends officially by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: reference UN or Wikipedia for resolution