Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 58.3%
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4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado1 ago 26, 16:23 UTC31 dic 99, 22:59 UTC
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If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?
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KalshiReglas
This question will remain open perpetually until its resolution unless China, Taiwan or the US stop existing.
- This question will resolve after the conflict between China and Taiwan ends.
- If there is still fighting on the island after multiple years and the US intervenes much later in the war, this still resolves YES.
- Direct intervention requires US forces engaging Chinese ones, this can include and is not limited to: Engaging Chinese naval assets, deploying boots on the ground in Taiwan, missile strikes on Chinese military bases, etc. Update 2026-04-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If China gains control of Taiwan through political (non-military) means, the market resolves N/A. (Identical market to: source market)
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 58% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly??
- Está previsto que If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2099.
- ¿Cómo se liquida If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This question will remain open perpetually until its resolution unless China, Taiwan or the US stop existing.