Will the ICJ determine that Myanmar committed genocide?
One-OffManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 55.4%
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6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado31 may 25, 21:28 UTC1 ene 50, 0:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
The International Court of Justice (ICJ) is currently deliberating on the case brought by The Gambia against Myanmar, alleging genocide against the Rohingya people.
- This market resolves to "Yes" if the ICJ issues a ruling determining that Myanmar committed genocide against the Rohingya, and "No" otherwise.
- In order for this question to resolve yes, the ICJ needs to rule that Myanmar committed genocide.
- A ruling that Myanmar breached the Genocide Convention or even that its forces committed acts of genocide (as in the Croatia vs Serbia) does not count.
- See this market https://manifold.markets/nathanwei/will-the-icj-determine-that-myanmar?play=true on whether Myanmar violated the Genocide Convention.
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the ICJ determine that Myanmar committed genocide??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 55% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the ICJ determine that Myanmar committed genocide??
- Está previsto que Will the ICJ determine that Myanmar committed genocide? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2050.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the ICJ determine that Myanmar committed genocide??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The International Court of Justice (ICJ) is currently deliberating on the case brought by The Gambia against Myanmar, alleging genocide against the Rohingya people.