Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 94%
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 57 minutos
Retrasado15 mar 26, 2:20 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution Criteria
- As of 2026, no fully humanoid robot has been deployed in direct combat operations.
- This market resolves YES if a humanoid robot (defined as a bipedal, human-shaped autonomous or semi-autonomous machine) directly kills a human combatant or civilian in Ukraine during 2026.
- Resolution requires credible documentation from established news sources confirming the death was caused by a humanoid robot's actions.
- The robot must be deployed in Ukraine and actively engaged in combat or combat-adjacent operations.
- Accidental deaths caused by mechanical failure or mishandling do not count.
