[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
EconomíaQuarterly21dManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 90.5%
Pronosticadores
39
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado6 ene 26, 23:15 UTC30 sept 26, 23:59 UTC
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Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
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PolymarketReglas
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41089)
- Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
- Metaculus high-level description: This question will resolve as Yes if the Bureau of Economic Analysis reports that the United States has experienced negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 of 2026, according to the BEA's third estimate for each quarter.
Mercados abiertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 90,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,5 M €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 358,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 35,8 mil €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 548,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 29,8 mil €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-2.0pt58%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,7 mil €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 17,7 mil €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
- Volumen total
- 310,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,5 mil €
- Recession this year?
- CPI in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de [ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 91% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve [ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026??
- Está previsto que [ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026? se resuelva el 30 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida [ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41089)