KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Esperando resolución verificada
CoinRithm espera una liquidación confirmada por el proveedor antes de tratar este mercado como resuelto.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 21 ago 2026, 19:10 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
4.4% or above 99%+68.0ptLíder entre 15 opciones
Calidad del mercado
34 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
4,9 mil €
Liquidez
4,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
19.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado14 ago 26, 19:3021 ago 26, 19:30
Tendencias
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
98%
97%
97%
94%
91%
90%
81%
16%
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.15% on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 21, 2026, or one week following Aug 21, 2026.
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.17% on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.19% on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.21% on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.23% on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.