KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Above .7% 38%Líder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
29 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1,6 mil €
Baja liquidezSpread
19.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
8 jul 26, 0:00 UTC31 dic 26, 21:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Polymarket10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
Kalshi10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
Manifold Markets10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.0%+ on 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above .7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
- Please note that intraday changes will not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day.
- If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above .8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above .9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 282,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,2 mil €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+23.5pt72%
- 4.85%+0.5pt42%
- 4.88%+2.5pt28%
+6 resultados más
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-2.0pt77%
- Below 4.73%-12.5pt64%
- Below 4.70%-32.0pt27%
+6 resultados más
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.31% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.33% or above99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,1 mil €
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.74% or above99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,3 mil €
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-1.1pt8%
- 3.5%5%
+6 resultados más
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026?
- Kalshi cotiza Above .7% al 38% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026?
- Está previsto que Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026 se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above .7%, then the market resolves to Yes.