KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualAbove .7% 65%Líder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
24 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
1,2 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
51.0% / 65.0%
Spread
27.4%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 minutos
8 jul 26, 0:0031 dic 26, 21:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Above .7%65%
Tendencia de volumen
$53 jul16d de datos26 jul
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?
3,1 mil €4.51% or above: 27%KALSHI
KALSHI
2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?
2,9 mil €4.45% or above: 16%KALSHI
KALSHI
10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?
2,6 mil €4.9% or above: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
When will the US have a sovereign debt crisis?
263,7 €2023: 1.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
80 €4.0%: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
44 €Sí: 50.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActivos en estos temas
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If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above .7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Please note that intraday changes will not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day.
- If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above .8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above .9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.