KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
4.75% or above 60%Líder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
44 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
242,9 €
Liquidez
8,8 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
8.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
9 jun 26, 15:30 UTC31 dic 26, 19:00 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?
KalshiWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Polymarket10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 4.74% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Dec 31, 2026, or one week following Dec 31, 2026.
- If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 4.99% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 5.09% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 5.14% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 282,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,2 mil €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+23.5pt72%
- 4.85%+0.5pt42%
- 4.88%+2.5pt28%
+6 resultados más
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-2.0pt77%
- Below 4.73%-12.5pt64%
- Below 4.70%-32.0pt27%
+6 resultados más
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.31% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.33% or above99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,1 mil €
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.74% or above99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,3 mil €
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-1.1pt8%
- 3.5%5%
+6 resultados más
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end??
- Kalshi cotiza 4.75% or above al 60% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end??
- Está previsto que 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 4.74% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.