PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 93%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
2,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
6.2% / 6.9%
Spread
0.7 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-4.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
29 jun 26, 19:28 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?
KalshiWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold Markets10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
Kalshi2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
KalshiWhen will the US 10 year treasury note yield go higher than 5%?
Manifold MarketsTechnical default on US Treasury debt by 1/20/2029
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes", the payment must be a publicly announced, official transaction involving the sending of assets or funds; exploratory or experimental transactions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
- Note: A qualifying transaction requires an official US Treasury payment made in the ordinary course of government operations - such as disbursements, settlements, or transfers - conducted via a public blockchain.
- Pilot programs, proof-of-concept transactions, and transactions explicitly described as tests or experiments by the Treasury do not qualify.