PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
3.0%+ 59%-7.5ptLíder entre 7 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
67 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
462,7 €
Liquidez
6,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
0.4 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-17.9 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
10 jun 26, 20:43 UTC31 dic 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
Activos Sensibles al Macro
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KalshiReglas
This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm).
- The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
- The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date.
- The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026.
Mercados abiertos
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 35 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,7 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 resultados más
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 resultados más
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026?
- Polymarket cotiza 3.0%+ al 59% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026?
- Está previsto que Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026 se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.