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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Bonds & Treasuries
  3. US credit rating downgrade in 2026?
US credit rating downgrade in 2026?

US credit rating downgrade in 2026?

1.0% (24h)Bonds & TreasuriesYearlyMacro & Economy6m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 34%-1.0%
Calidad del mercado

28 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

1,5 €

Liquidez

288,2 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

29.0% / 34.0%

Spread

17.2%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 1 minuto

1 ene 26, 5:011 ene 27, 4:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes34%

Reglas

If U.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi

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Freddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?

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Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

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Who will be the first trillionaire?

4,5 mil €
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How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

543,1 €
More than $1 trillion: 94%KalshiKALSHI
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Will Elon Musk be worth $2.0t or more before 2028?

470,5 €
Sí: 30.1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026?

400,8 €
Apple: 97%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,909.82+2.43%EthereumETH$1,659.82+1.79%SolanaSOL$65.29+1.68%HyperliquidHYPE$55.85+0.75%XRPXRP$1.12+0.43%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.53%

Noticias Relacionadas

Wall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsBitcoin may act as a ‘canary in the coal mine’ as risk-off pressure spreads: BitwiseCointelegraphCan the Bank of Japan’s 1% rate hike spark another crypto selloff?Crypto NewsBitcoin price $60K support not yet safe as more macro headwinds stack up CointelegraphGold slips below 200-day moving average offering glimmer of hope for bitcoin bullsCoindeskU.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindesk

Reglas

If U.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi