KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 90%
Calidad del mercado
68 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
51,3 €
Liquidez
28,9 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
1 ene 26, 5:01 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Brazil’s sovereign credit rating be downgraded by Fitch, Moody’s, or S&P in 2026?
FutuurDrop in India’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026?
FutuurDrop in Mexico’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026?
FutuurAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?
PolymarketWill MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?
PolymarketWill S&P downgrade the US to AA or lower by 2027?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If U.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 282,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,2 mil €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+23.5pt72%
- 4.85%+0.5pt42%
- 4.88%+2.5pt28%
+6 resultados más
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-2.0pt77%
- Below 4.73%-12.5pt64%
- Below 4.70%-32.0pt27%
+6 resultados más
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.31% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.33% or above99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,1 mil €
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.74% or above99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,3 mil €
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-1.1pt8%
- 3.5%5%
+6 resultados más
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de US credit rating downgrade in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 90% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve US credit rating downgrade in 2026??
- Está previsto que US credit rating downgrade in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida US credit rating downgrade in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If U.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.