KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualAbove 3.20% 89%Líder entre 16 opciones
Calidad del mercado
40 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
5,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
91.0% / 99.0%
Spread
8.8%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
30 jun 26, 22:0030 sept 26, 19:29
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Above 3.20%89%
Tendencia de volumen
$4052 jul22d de datos24 jul
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
SOFR at end of Q4 2026
0 €Above 3.00%: 81%KALSHI
KALSHISOFR at end of Q3 2026
0 €Above 3.75%: 66%KALSHI
KALSHI
5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?
3,1 mil €4.51% or above: 27%KALSHI
KALSHI
When will the US have a sovereign debt crisis?
263,7 €2023: 1.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
219,8 €Sí: 76.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSU.S. 30 Year TIPS yield exceeds 4% before 2028?
112 €Sí: 50.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActivos en estos temas
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Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (2 Yr) for Sep 30, 2026 (end of Q3 2026) is above 3.20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (2 Yr) for Sep 30, 2026 (end of Q3 2026) is above 3.30%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (2 Yr) for Sep 30, 2026 (end of Q3 2026) is above 3.40%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (2 Yr) for Sep 30, 2026 (end of Q3 2026) is above 3.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (2 Yr) for Sep 30, 2026 (end of Q3 2026) is above 3.60%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Treasury Daily Yield Curve Rate (2 Yr) for Sep 30, 2026 (end of Q3 2026) is above 3.70%, then the market resolves to Yes.