KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualAbove 3.00% 81%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
40 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
2,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
86.0% / 97.0%
Spread
12.8%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
25 jun 26, 21:004 ene 27, 12:55
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Above 3.00%81%
Tendencia de volumen
$2024 jul14d de datos25 jul
Mercados Relacionados
SOFR at end of Q3 2026
0 €Above 3.75%: 66%KALSHI
KALSHI
UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
0 €Above 3.20%: 89%KALSHI
KALSHI
5Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?
3,1 mil €4.51% or above: 27%KALSHI
KALSHI
When will the US have a sovereign debt crisis?
263,7 €2023: 1.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
219,8 €Sí: 76.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSU.S. 30 Year TIPS yield exceeds 4% before 2028?
112 €Sí: 50.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActivos en estos temas
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If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 4.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.