KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Above 3.00% 99%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
34 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
3,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
9.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
25 jun 26, 21:00 UTC4 ene 27, 12:55 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
SOFR at end of Q3 2026
KalshiHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
Polymarket2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Kalshi30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
KalshiReglas
If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 4.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 282,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,2 mil €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+23.5pt72%
- 4.85%+0.5pt42%
- 4.88%+2.5pt28%
+6 resultados más
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-2.0pt77%
- Below 4.73%-12.5pt64%
- Below 4.70%-32.0pt27%
+6 resultados más
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.31% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.33% or above99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,1 mil €
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.74% or above99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,3 mil €
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-1.1pt8%
- 3.5%5%
+6 resultados más
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de SOFR at end of Q4 2026?
- Kalshi cotiza Above 3.00% al 99% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve SOFR at end of Q4 2026?
- Está previsto que SOFR at end of Q4 2026 se resuelva el 4 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida SOFR at end of Q4 2026?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.