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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Economía
  3. U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?
U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?

U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?

EconomíaOne-OffBonds & Treasuries4m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 12%
Calidad del mercado

28 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

0,1 €

Liquidez

173,5 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

9.0% / 11.0%

Spread

22.2%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 1 minuto

11 mar 26, 20:0020 oct 26, 12:29

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes12%

Reglas

If the U.S. federal budget deficit as a percentage of GDP for fiscal year 2026, as reported in the U.S.

Kalshi
  • Treasury / Office of Management and Budget Joint Statement on Budget Results for Fiscal Year 2026, is below 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Activos Sensibles al Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,606.90+2.26%EthereumETH$1,649.46+1.58%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.57%

Mercados Relacionados

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

30,3 €
4.3%: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?

10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?

11,4 €
5.1% or above: 7%KalshiKALSHI
30Y US Treasury Yield at month-end?

30Y US Treasury Yield at month-end?

3,6 €
Above 4.95%: 69%KalshiKALSHI
Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 12, 2026?

Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 12, 2026?

1,7 €
4.53% to 4.55%: 14%KalshiKALSHI
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

0,9 €
Sí: 4%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

0 €
$39 trillion: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Activos en estos temas

DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.64%XRPXRP$1.12+0.27%BNBBNB$595.40+1.66%CardanoADA$0.1657+3.13%HyperliquidHYPE$54.92-0.62%LitecoinLTC$42.68+0.67%

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Reglas

If the U.S. federal budget deficit as a percentage of GDP for fiscal year 2026, as reported in the U.S.

Kalshi
  • Treasury / Office of Management and Budget Joint Statement on Budget Results for Fiscal Year 2026, is below 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.