KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaEste mercado se resolvió: At least 20 (99%)
Resuelto: 23 jun 2026, 14:34
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
At least 20
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
—
Probabilidad implícita actualAt least 20 99%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
39 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
23,4 mil €
Liquidez
180,5 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
- / 1.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 20 días
Desactualizado15 jun 26, 17:157 jul 26, 16:45
Cronología de Probabilidad
At least 2099%
At least 601%
At least 802%
1%
2%
99%
98%
99%
99%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· At least 20
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Baja | 99% | — | 23,4 mil € | 180,5 mil € | hace 20 días | |
 Polymarket75% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 100% | — | 3,8 mil € | 0 € | hace 19 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
0.5 ptsCerrados
+0.7pt100%
+9.4pt100%
-0.5pt0%
+1 resultados más
17 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidez
Volumen total3,7 M €
Volumen 24h3,8 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 20 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 30 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 40 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 50 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 60 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 80 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$26.6k2 jul6d de datos7 jul
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Polymarket prices Hormuz traffic normalization by July 31 at 1.85% YesBlockchain.NewsReglas
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 20 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 30 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 40 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 50 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 60 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 80 in June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.