KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actual0.0% or Below 12.6%+2.0ptLíder entre 14 opciones
Calidad del mercado
76 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
32,8 mil €
Liquidez
15,8 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
4.0% / 5.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
28 jul 26, 0:0028 feb 33, 13:29
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
5.6% to 6.0%4%
Operaciones grandes
$1.4k96.0%KALSHI5.6% to 6.0% — Nohace 14 h
KALSHI5.6% to 6.0% — Nohace 14 hTendencia de volumen
$37.4k28 jul2d de datos29 jul
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
US real GDP growth in 2033?
63,2 mil €2.1% to 2.5%: 11%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2036?
47 mil €5.1% to 5.5%: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2034?
26,3 €1.6% to 2.0%: 9%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2027?
119,7 €2.6% to 3.0%: 11%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2031?
30,7 €6.1% or Above: 5%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2035?
1,2 mil €1.6% to 2.0%: 8%KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Reglas
If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2032.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2032 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2032 GDP in early 2033.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is between 0.1% to 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is between 0.6% to 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.