KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
2.1% to 2.5% 10%-10.0ptLíder entre 14 opciones
Calidad del mercado
50 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
5,7 €
Liquidez
6,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
28 jul 26, 0:00 UTC28 feb 33, 13:29 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
US real GDP growth in 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2033?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2034?
KalshiWho will win the presidency in 2028 and will average annual Real GDP growth be MORE or LESS than 2.8% during their term?
Manifold MarketsUS real GDP growth in 2027?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2028?
KalshiReglas
If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2032.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2032 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2032 GDP in early 2033.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is between 0.1% to 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is between 0.6% to 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
EconomyKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%98%
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.3%98%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 266,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 76,4 mil €
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.8%+1.0pt98%
- Above 3.7%97%
- Above 3.9%+1.0pt92%
+11 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 93,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+11 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 157,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 35,3 mil €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes-1.0pt6%
- Volumen total
- 3,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,3 mil €
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No+2.0pt90.1%
- Yes-2.0pt9.9%
- Volumen total
- 1,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,1 mil €
KALSHICore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Above 2.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.2%+1.0pt98%
- Above 2.3%+5.0pt86%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Recession in 2027?
- CPI core in October
- CPI core in September
- Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US Nominal GDP in 2026
- China unemployment rate in September
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de US real GDP growth in 2032??
- Kalshi cotiza 2.1% to 2.5% al 10% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve US real GDP growth in 2032??
- Está previsto que US real GDP growth in 2032? se resuelva el 28 de febrero de 2033.
- ¿Cómo se liquida US real GDP growth in 2032??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.