KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosSin actividad de trading
Datos del 25 sept 2026, 10:20 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
At least 1680K 0%Líder entre 11 opciones
Calidad del mercado
22 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
24 sept 26, 16:00 UTC1 oct 26, 12:29 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Reglas
If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026 is at least
- 1680K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment figure reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration in its Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ending Sep 19, 2026.
- The market will use the advance figure first published for the specified week.
- The following week's revision will not affect resolution.
- 1690K, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
Economy
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No-3.0pt89.1%
- Yes+3.0pt10.9%
- Volumen total
- 1,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 52,4 mil €
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%98%
- Above 3.2%97%
- Above 3.1%-1.0pt97%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 467,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 19,4 mil €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above -0.4%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+11 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 293,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,8 mil €
KALSHIPennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026
- Above 545,000 jobs97%
- Above 550,000 jobs+4.0pt91%
- Above 555,000 jobs+4.0pt53%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 101,5 mil €
KALSHIJobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Above -25,00094%
- Above 0+2.0pt88%
- Above 10,000-1.0pt85%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 83,5 mil €
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.7%99%
- Above 3.8%98%
- Above 4.9%98%
+11 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 141,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 8,3 mil €
- Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Recession this year?
- Recession in 2027?
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- CPI core in October
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI in November
- CPI core in November 2026
- September Unemployment Rate
- US real GDP growth in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026?
- Kalshi cotiza At least 1680K al 0% a fecha de 25 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026?
- Está previsto que Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026 se resuelva el 1 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026 is at least