PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
4.1% 30.8%Líder entre 9 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
51 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
98,4 €
Liquidez
18,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
4 sept 26, 16:35 UTC2 oct 26, 8:30 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Mexico unemployment rate in August
KalshiChina unemployment rate in August
KalshiAustralia unemployment rate in August
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.4% in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.2% in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.6% in September 2026?
ForecastExReglas
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
- The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
- The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued.
- Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Kalshi — Unemployment rate in Sep 2026? · Exactly 4.1% 31%
Mercados abiertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52%
- No change-3.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 89,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,3 M €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 323,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 25,3 mil €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 523 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 22 mil €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes+1.0pt2%
- Volumen total
- 611,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,8 mil €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP86%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 10,5 mil €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+1.0pt6%
- Volumen total
- 2,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 7,7 mil €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
- Unemployment in September
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de September Unemployment Rate?
- Polymarket cotiza 4.1% al 31% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve September Unemployment Rate?
- Está previsto que September Unemployment Rate se resuelva el 2 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida September Unemployment Rate?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
- ¿Dónde más está listado September Unemployment Rate?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Kalshi.