KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
United States · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
United States 66.5%Líder entre 5 opciones
United States 66.5%Calidad del mercado
36 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
2,5 €
Interés abierto
1 mil US$
Interés abierto bajoCompra / Venta
— / —
United StatesSpread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 36 minutos
9 oct 26, 0:00 UTC31 dic 29, 14:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · United States
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsWill a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
PolymarketReglas
If an AI lab based in the United States has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is used first, followed by Epoch AI's General ECI and LiveBench Overall under the fallback rules. The default leaderboard is used, excluding preliminary or provisional scores. Only the ranking at the stated time counts; leading earlier does not. Ties follow the contract's tiebreakers. A model counts for the country where its credited organization is headquartered or, for a division, subsidiary or brand, where its ultimate parent is headquartered (e.g., Google DeepMind counts for the United States). If that country is not listed, every market resolves No.
Reglas de cada resultado
- United States
- If an AI lab based in the United States has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- China
- If an AI lab based in China has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- France
- If an AI lab based in France has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- United Arab Emirates
- If an AI lab based in the United Arab Emirates has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- South Korea
- If an AI lab based in South Korea has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.