GeminiDatos verificados limitadosAviso de calidad de datosSin cotizaciones en vivo
Datos del 27 jul 2026, 3:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actualSí 8.5%
Calidad del mercado
19 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
0 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
4.0% / 13.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
4 mar 26, 11:441 feb 27, 4:59
8.5%
El trading simulado no está disponible para este mercado.
Comparar plataformas· Yes
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMejor en general100% de coincidencia · auto | Alta | 10% | 0pt | 2,7 mil € | 710 mil € | hace 11 minutos | Abrir → |
| GeminiEsta página | Baja | 9% | -1pt | 0 € | 0 € | hace 11 minutos |
También disponible en Kalshi
Recession this year?
1.0 pts6m
90%
-1.0pt10%
85 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total2,6 M €
Volumen 24h2,7 mil €
KALSHIReglas
Recession this year?
- If there are two consecutive quarters of negative U.S.
- GDP growth in 2025 or 2026, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis.
- The market will close at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or 8:25 AM ET on the morning of the expected release of the Advance Estimate of 2026 Q4 GDP.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or the first 10:00 AM ET after the release of the Advance Estimate of 2026 Q4 GDP.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Mercados Relacionados
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
7,9 mil €Above 3.2%: 89%KALSHI
KALSHI
US real GDP growth in 2026?
7,4 mil €0.1% to 0.5%: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?
2,5 mil €Soft Landing: 60%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2026: Trump's dream year?
2 mil €Sí: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
1,2 mil €0-1%: 55%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2027?
438,5 €Sí: 2.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Reglas
Recession this year?
- If there are two consecutive quarters of negative U.S.
- GDP growth in 2025 or 2026, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis.
- The market will close at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or 8:25 AM ET on the morning of the expected release of the Advance Estimate of 2026 Q4 GDP.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or the first 10:00 AM ET after the release of the Advance Estimate of 2026 Q4 GDP.