Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026?
FedOne-OffPolíticaEuropaBancos centrales2m
FutuurComprobar disponibilidadDatos de resolución verificadosProbabilidad implícita actual
Sí 68%
Sí 68%Calidad del mercado
33 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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ForecastExReglas
This event predicts whether Christine Lagarde will remain in office as President of the European Central Bank (ECB) through December 31, 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official European Central Bank press releases or European Council announcements confirming the ECB presidency.
- If Christine Lagarde officially remains ECB President through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If she resigns, is replaced, or otherwise ceases to hold the presidency before that date, the market will resolve to "No" at the moment of official confirmation, regardless of caretaker arrangements.
- If official ECB records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major European news organizations.
