PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Megan Degenfelder 58%-1.4ptLeader of 31 outcomes
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$620.7
Liquidity
$181.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.7% / 6.5%
Spread
4.8 pt
Moderate spread7d Change
+1.1 pts
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Dec 11, 25, 5:51 PMAug 18, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Megan Degenfelder58%
Compare venues· Megan Degenfelder
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall88% match · verified | Medium | 56% | -2pt | $605.2 | $34.2K | 14 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis pageMost active | Medium | 58% | 0pt | $620.7 | $181.3K | 14 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Wyoming Republican Governor nominee?
7.0 pts3mo
+2.0pt54.4%
+7.0pt35.9%
-6.0pt7.8%
+2 more outcomes
70 • Medium qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$58.1K
24h Vol$605.2
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
- If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$621Jul 226d of dataJul 27
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This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
- If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.