PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityJuly 2 28%-27.0%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$20.8K
Liquidity
$3.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
0.8% / 8.0%
Spread
900.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-18.1%
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jun 8, 26, 5:25 PMJul 3, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
0%
0%
Selected outcome
July 228%
Also available on Kalshi
Will Spencer Pratt concede?
1.0%12d
-1.0%21%
11%
44 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$279.9
24h Vol$1.9
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent.
- If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
- Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify.
- Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent.
- If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
- Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify.
- Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.