Current implied probability
Before Jul 1, 2026 21%-1.0%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.9
Liquidity
$112.7
Low liquidityBid / Ask
20.0% / 21.0%
Spread
5.0%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jun 6, 26, 2:00 AMJul 2, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Before Jul 1, 202621%
Also available on Polymarket
Will Spencer Pratt concede by…?
43.1%13d
-27.0%28%
-43.1%0%
-0.5%0%
61 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$42.3K
24h Vol$20.8K
POLYMARKETRules
If Spencer Pratt has made a statement conceding defeat in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary before Jun 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A concession requires the candidate to explicitly acknowledge defeat, loss, or that their opponent has won the race.
- Qualifying statements include "concede," "congratulate [opponent] on their victory," "accept the results," "will not be [office holder]," or other unambiguous acknowledgments of defeat.
- Suspending or ending a campaign without acknowledging defeat, conditional statements, or conceding only partial results do not qualify.
- If a candidate makes a concession statement and then retracts it before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
- Death or incapacitation resolves the market to the last fair traded price.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If Spencer Pratt has made a statement conceding defeat in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary before Jun 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A concession requires the candidate to explicitly acknowledge defeat, loss, or that their opponent has won the race.
- Qualifying statements include "concede," "congratulate [opponent] on their victory," "accept the results," "will not be [office holder]," or other unambiguous acknowledgments of defeat.
- Suspending or ending a campaign without acknowledging defeat, conditional statements, or conceding only partial results do not qualify.
- If a candidate makes a concession statement and then retracts it before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
- Death or incapacitation resolves the market to the last fair traded price.