PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (100%)
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, 6:11 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityNo 100%
Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$151.1
Liquidity
$12.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.2%
7d Change
-0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 27 days ago
StaleApr 7, 26, 3:53 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
0%
100%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall85% match · verified | Medium | 85% | — | $0.9 | $11.2K | 21 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis pageMost active | Low | 100% | — | $151.1 | $12.9K | 27 days ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?
1.0 pts5mo
85%
-1.0pt15%
53 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$57.9K
24h Vol$0.9
KALSHIRules
If Kanye West visits Israel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Israel.
- Whether or not Kanye West enters Israeli airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If Kanye West visits Israel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Israel.
- Whether or not Kanye West enters Israeli airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.