PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 98%
No 98%Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$40
Liquidity
$23.6K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$4.5K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
8
7d Change
-0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jan 12, 26, 10:57 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Greenland hold an independence referendum in 2026?
PredictItWill Kaliningrad achieve independence from Russia by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Quebec hold a referendum on independence from Canada before the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Brittany gain independence from France before 2030
Manifold MarketsWhich Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: October
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
