Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?
6.2 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Other (100%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probabilityOther 100%Leader of 51 outcomes
Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$34.8K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 4.7%
7d Change
-2.8 pts
Market data
Updated 45 days ago
StaleMay 22, 26, 7:25 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Sebastian Gorka1%
John Ratcliffe0%
Mike Flynn6%
Amaryllis Fox Kennedy1%
Other100%
Richard Grenell0%
Derek Harvey0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Other
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall64% match · verified | Medium | 99% | — | $21.8K | $769.6K | 25 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis pageMost active | Low | 100% | — | $34.8K | $0 | 45 days ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence?
2y
+0.2pt97.1%
1%
1%
+20 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$1.4M
24h Vol$21.8K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.
- An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
- Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence.
- Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
- Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
- A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$3.0k94.7%KALSHIJay Clayton — Yes16d ago
KALSHIJay Clayton — Yes16d ago$3.7k94.6%KALSHIJay Clayton — Yes16d ago
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This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence.
- An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
- Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence.
- Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
- Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
- A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market.