KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityBill Pulte 4%-1.6%Leader of 22 outcomes
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$480.7
Liquidity
$2.4K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
4.3% / 4.4%
Spread
2.3%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jun 2, 26, 2:05 PMJan 20, 29, 3:00 PM
Trends
Selected outcome
Bill Pulte4%
Also available on Polymarket
Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?
12.1%6mo
+3.8%19%
17%
-12.1%15%
+48 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$84.7K
24h Vol$5.2K
POLYMARKETRules
If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Aaron Lukas before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is John Ratcliffe before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Michael Ellis before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Richard Grenell before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Aaron Lukas before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is John Ratcliffe before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Michael Ellis before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Richard Grenell before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.