KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAt least 1 97%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.4K
Liquidity
$5.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
90.0% / 91.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jul 26, 26, 2:00 PMAug 2, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
At least 291%
Volume trend
$3.4kJul 263d of dataJul 28
Related Markets
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
$693.1KJames Fishback: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
$281.7KAt least 1%: 98%KALSHI
KALSHI
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
$259.8KHaley Stevens: 26%KALSHI
KALSHI
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$255.2KJD Vance: 20%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$217.3KGadi Eizenkot: 52%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$206KRobert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRules
If Donald Trump has taken at least 1 presidential actions from Jul 26, 2026 through Aug 1, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Aug 2, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market solely resolves to the publication dates visibly displayed on the "Presidential Actions" tab at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Aug 2, 2026.
- The week runs from Jul 26, 2026 through Aug 1, 2026.
- The actions may include proclamations, executive orders, nominations & appointments, and memoranda.
- Any item listed on the page counts, regardless of its legal effect.
- Examples (for Jan 10, 2026):