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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner
NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

0.4% (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection11d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Micah Lasher
Micah Lasher 54%+5.0%
Leader of 39 outcomes
Market quality

56 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$150.2

Liquidity

$167.6K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

0.7% / 1.4%

Spread

100.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

+0.9%

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Nov 21, 25, 4:08 PMJun 23, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Erik Bottcher
Erik Bottcher
0%
Carolyn Maloney
Carolyn Maloney
0%

Selected outcome

Micah Lasher54%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S.

Polymarket
  • House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
  • The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
  • If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
  • Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,834.54+2.10%EthereumETH$1,649.26+0.76%SolanaSOL$65.28+1.41%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+0.85%XRPXRP$1.11-0.71%BNBBNB$599.71+1.78%

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Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S.

Polymarket
  • House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
  • The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
  • If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
  • Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.