PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
North Korea 0%Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
23 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$108.4K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
7d Change
-27.4 pts
Market data
Updated 21 days ago
StaleNov 20, 25, 7:09 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· North Korea
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 0% | — | $108.4K | $0 | 21 days ago | |
 Manifold Markets78% match · verified | — | 2% | — | — | — | 27 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Which of these countries will recognize the state of Israel by mid 2026
Closed
Resolved
Bolivia (100%)
100%
2.5%
2.5%
+26 more outcomes
Community forecast44 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.
- An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.8k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? — NoZamamiTurtle24d ago
POLYMARKETWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? — NoZamamiTurtle24d ago$10.0k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? — NoTrustinghorse24d ago
POLYMARKETWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? — NoTrustinghorse24d ago$2.0k98.4%POLYMARKETNoJasonPunos27d ago
POLYMARKETNoJasonPunos27d ago$10.3k93.2%POLYMARKETNoscottilicious27d ago
POLYMARKETNoscottilicious27d ago$1.6k93.1%POLYMARKETNoOnePiece727d ago
POLYMARKETNoOnePiece727d ago$1.6k93.1%POLYMARKETNojklsjdwoqejasdf27d ago
POLYMARKETNojklsjdwoqejasdf27d agoVolume trend
$108.4kJul 25d of dataJul 6
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This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.
- An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.