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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Middle East
  3. Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

0.6% (24h)One-OffMiddle East18d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Lebanon
Lebanon 4%+0.1%
Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality

64 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$4.1K

Liquidity

$105.2K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

0.5% / 0.6%

Spread

20.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-0.3%

Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Nov 20, 25, 7:15 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Lebanon4%

Rules

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

Polymarket
  • An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information.
  • However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

Polymarket
  • An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information.
  • However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.