What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (July 6 - July 12)
GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope8d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityTrump 96%Leader of 23 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$363.4
Liquidity
$456.2
Low liquidityBid / Ask
92.5% / 99.9%
Spread
8.0%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 3, 26, 3:37 PMJul 12, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Trump96%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between July 6 and July 12, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline.
- The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article.
- Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline.
- Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count.