PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 29, 2026, 11:56 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 9:06 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times99%
AWS 20+ times100%
America97%
Anthropic99%
Data Center99%
International99%
Live Sports88%
Prime 10+ times75%
Robotic / Robotics90%
Tariff100%
-No Qualifying Event-1%
Delivery 10+ times0%
Layoff / Job Cut0%
Supply Chain0%
World Cup0%
AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ timesWon
AWS 20+ timesWon
AmericaWon
AnthropicWon
Data CenterWon
InternationalWon
Live SportsWon
Prime 10+ timesWon
Robotic / RoboticsWon
TariffWon
-No Qualifying Event-Lost
Delivery 10+ timesLost
Layoff / Job CutLost
Supply ChainLost
World CupLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiWill Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Amazon currently scheduled to take place on October 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source will be audio of the event.
- For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf