PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAly Richards 73.5%-0.5ptLeader of 18 outcomes
Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$28.9
Liquidity
$6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
24.4% / 25.5%
Spread
1.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
-8.7 pts
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Dec 11, 25, 5:50 PMAug 11, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Aly Richards72%
Compare venues· Aly Richards
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 72% | -8pt | $28.9 | $6K | 21 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi85% match · verified | Low | 80% | 0pt | $0 | $11.2K | 21 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Vermont Democratic Governor nominee?
1y
70.2%
22.8%
5.3%
+6 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$26.2K
24h Vol$0
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
- If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$29Jul 326d of dataJul 28
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This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
- If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.