KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAly Richards 70.2%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$11.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
0.1% / 1.8%
Spread
1.7 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Dec 9, 25, 3:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Esther Charlestin1%
Compare venues· Aly Richards
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall85% match · verified | Medium | 72% | 0pt | $32.9 | $25.3K | 11 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 80% | +8pt | $0 | $11.2K | 11 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner
2.5 pts13d
-0.5pt73.5%
+2.5pt25.5%
1%
+15 more outcomes
66 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$86.1K
24h Vol$32.9
POLYMARKETRules
If Esther Charlestin wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Mike Pieciak wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Charity Clark wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If David Zuckerman wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Becca Balint wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Phil Baruth wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$5Jul 224d of dataJul 27
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If Esther Charlestin wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Mike Pieciak wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Charity Clark wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If David Zuckerman wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Becca Balint wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Phil Baruth wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.