PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityShannon Taylor 89%+5.0%Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$842.6
Liquidity
$74.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
87.0% / 90.0%
Spread
3.5%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jul 6, 26, 10:13 PMAug 4, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Shannon Taylor89%
Volume trend
$843Jul 72d of dataJul 8
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This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
- If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.