PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 54%+0.1%
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$19.5K
Liquidity
$50.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
53.0% / 54.0%
Spread
1.9%
Tight spread7d Change
+20.0%
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jun 24, 26, 4:52 AMAug 20, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes54%
Large trades
$1.6k63.0%POLYMARKETNoPump9d ago
POLYMARKETNoPump9d ago$1.9k49.4%POLYMARKETNoWagmi42010d ago
POLYMARKETNoWagmi42010d ago$3.5k69.0%POLYMARKETYes0x8c66…44f319d ago
POLYMARKETYes0x8c66…44f319d agoVolume trend
$19.5kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement (the MOU), including a 60-day negotiation period toward a “final deal”, extendable by mutual consent.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the United States and Iran publicly and officially announce an extension of the 60-day negotiation period initiated by the MOU between market creation and August 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of a present extension of the 60-day negotiation period, a previously-unannounced prior extension of the 60-day negotiation period, or definitive agreement to extend the 60-day negotiation period.
- A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify an extension of the 60-day negotiation period initiated by the MOU.
- Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe an extension, without clearly communicating it, do not qualify.