PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
$345 · —
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Stored reference
$345 100%Leader of 13 outcomes
$345 100%Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.8K
Liquidity
$35.8K
High liquidityOpen interest
$685.4
Bid / Ask
— / —
$345Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 23, 26, 10:00 PM UTCOct 30, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · $345
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
Manifold MarketsTesla (TSLA) stock price at the end of year? [Multiple Years And Prices]
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla (TSLA) market cap reach US$8.6-trillion before EOY 2035?
Manifold MarketsWho is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
- For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
