PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability3.0–3.4% 52%+10.0%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.5
Liquidity
$515.2
Low liquidityBid / Ask
32.0% / 71.0%
Spread
121.9%
Wide spread7d Change
+27.5%
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Apr 23, 26, 10:37 PMJul 23, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
3.0–3.4%52%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
US nominal GDP growth in Q2 2026
$0.2Above 1.5%: 48%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Auto-loan delinquencies in Q2 2026
$0.1Above 6.0%: 29%KALSHI
KALSHI
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?
$1K4.6-4.9%: 84%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
$180.62.0–2.5%: 27%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
$50Yes: 21%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
$5.9-2.4%– -1.6%: 45%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETRelated News
Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto News
Wall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto News
Can the Bank of Japan’s 1% rate hike spark another crypto selloff?Crypto News
U.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindesk
The Fed has a new chair. What it means for cryptoCrypto News
HKMA Warns of Fraudulent Websites Targeting e-HKD InvestorsBlockchain.NewsRules
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the second quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on July 23, 2026.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
- The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter.
- Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%).