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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Fed
  3. Auto-loan delinquencies in Q2 2026
Auto-loan delinquencies in Q2 2026

Auto-loan delinquencies in Q2 2026

7.0% (24h)FedEconomyQuarterlyMacro & EconomyCentral Banks1mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Above 6.0%
Above 6.0% 29%-7.0%
Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.1

Liquidity

$5.2

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

29.0% / 36.0%

Spread

24.1%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

May 19, 26, 5:30 PMAug 4, 26, 12:29 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Above 6.0%29%

Rules

If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q2 2026 is above 5.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Underlying is the value reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit / Household Debt and Credit Data Bank for Auto Loans in the series “Percent of Balance 90+ Days Delinquent by Loan Type.”
  • Use the first value reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York for Q2 2026.
  • Subsequent revisions will not affect the market.
  • If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q2 2026 is above 5.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q2 2026 is above 5.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,628.97+2.53%EthereumETH$1,650.54+2.09%SolanaSOL$65.12+1.83%BNBBNB$594.98+1.90%

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Rules

If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q2 2026 is above 5.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Underlying is the value reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit / Household Debt and Credit Data Bank for Auto Loans in the series “Percent of Balance 90+ Days Delinquent by Loan Type.”
  • Use the first value reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York for Q2 2026.
  • Subsequent revisions will not affect the market.
  • If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q2 2026 is above 5.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q2 2026 is above 5.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.