KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove 5.6% 77%+6.0%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$11.9
Liquidity
$438.5
Low liquidityBid / Ask
70.0% / 77.0%
Spread
10.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
May 19, 26, 5:30 PMAug 4, 26, 12:29 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 5.6%77%
Volume trend
$12Jul 85d of dataJul 25
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If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q2 2026 is above 5.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the value reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit / Household Debt and Credit Data Bank for Auto Loans in the series “Percent of Balance 90+ Days Delinquent by Loan Type.”
- Use the first value reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York for Q2 2026.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect the market.
- If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q2 2026 is above 5.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the share of U.S. auto-loan balances 90 or more days delinquent for Q2 2026 is above 5.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.