PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability2.0–2.5% 26%-7.5%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$180.6
Liquidity
$15.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
15.0% / 22.0%
Spread
46.7%
Wide spread7d Change
-2.0%
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Apr 30, 26, 6:32 PMJul 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
2.0–2.5%26%
Also available on Kalshi
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
2.0%1mo
+2.0%53%
+2.0%33%
22%
+6 more outcomes
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$901.7
24h Vol$3.7
KALSHI
Also available on Limitless
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
1mo
17.5%
17.5%
21%
+4 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$43.2
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
- Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate".
- The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market.
- Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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POLYMARKETRules
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
- Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate".
- The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market.
- Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.