PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability1.5–2.0% 36%+4.0%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$273
Liquidity
$10.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 7.3%
Spread
82.5%
Wide spread7d Change
+0.8%
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Apr 30, 26, 6:28 PMJul 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
1.5–2.0%36%
Compare venues· 1.5–2.0%
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall100% match · auto | Medium | 99% | +63pt | $4.5K | $67.7K | 28 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Medium | 36% | 0pt | $273 | $10.9K | 8 minutes ago | |
 Futuur72% match · auto | Low | 37% | +1pt | $0 | $5.6K | 28 minutes ago | Open → |
 Limitless100% match · auto | Low | 36% | 0pt | $0 | $0 | 28 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
7.0%4d
99%
95%
93%
+6 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$190K
24h Vol$4.5K
KALSHIAlso available on Limitless
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
3d
36%
28%
18%
+4 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.2K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSAlso available on Futuur
US’ GDP growth rate for Q2- 2026
3d
37%
30%
20%
+1 more outcomes
44 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$50.9
24h Vol$0
FUTUURRules
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
- Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate".
- The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market.
- Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$273Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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KALSHIActive in these topics
Rules
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
- Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate".
- The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market.
- Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.