[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
EconomyQuarterly2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 9.7%
Forecasters
37
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJan 6, 26, 11:15 PMSep 30, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes10%
Volume trend
$20Jul 136d of dataJul 26
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
$4.5KAbove 3.0%: 8%
KALSHI
KALSHI
South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?
$2K3.0–3.4%: 44%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?
$5121.5-2.0%: 39%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
$304.50.0%–0.8%: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Auto-loan delinquencies in Q2 2026
$11.9Above 5.6%: 77%KALSHI
KALSHIUS GDP growth in Q3 2026?
$10Above 2.5%: 9%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.