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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

35.6% (24h)EconomyQuarterlyUS Politics2mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
-2.4%– -1.6%
-2.4%– -1.6% 45%-1.5%
Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$5.9

Liquidity

$2.8K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

0.9% / 71.3%

Spread

7822.2%

Wide spread
7d Change

-9.9%

Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

May 26, 26, 6:23 PMAug 17, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

-2.4%– -1.6%45%

Rules

This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on August 17, 2026.

Polymarket
  • The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent.
  • Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
  • The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
  • If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,794.11+2.01%EthereumETH$1,656.59+1.27%SolanaSOL$65.11+1.63%

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[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?

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Rules

This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on August 17, 2026.

Polymarket
  • The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent.
  • Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
  • The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
  • If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.