PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability
1.0-1.5% 52%+3.0%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$192
Low liquidityBid / Ask
3.0% / 43.0%
Spread
1333.3%
Wide spread7d Change
-14.5%
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
May 4, 26, 3:46 PMJul 30, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
1.0-1.5%52%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Brazil GDP growth in Q4 2026 (YoY)
$0Above 0.5%: 84%
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KALSHIBrazil GDP growth in Q2 2026 (YoY)
$0Above 1.5%: 0%KALSHI
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Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
$01.2%–1.4%: 53%POLYMARKET
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China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?
$1K4.6-4.9%: 84%POLYMARKET
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US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
$180.62.0–2.5%: 27%POLYMARKET
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[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
$50Yes: 21%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Rules
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.
- Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.