PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability≥1.5% 54%+0.5%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$165.5
Low liquidityBid / Ask
3.0% / 39.0%
Spread
1200.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Trends
Selected outcome
≥1.5%54%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Brazil GDP growth in Q4 2026 (YoY)
$0Above 0.5%: 84%
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China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?
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US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
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[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
$50Yes: 21%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Rules
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 1st quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on May 29, 2026.
- The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
- If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.