PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Jul 26, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability0.3%–0.5% 44%-0.9%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 21.5%
7d Change
-0.1%
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
0.3%–0.5%44%
Volume trend
$34Jul 221d of dataJul 25
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 1st quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on May 29, 2026.
- The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
- If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.