PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Elaine Pelino 55%-7.5ptLeader of 21 outcomes
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$112.2
Liquidity
$3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
0.2% / 0.7%
Spread
0.5 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Dec 11, 25, 4:44 AMSep 8, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Elaine Pelino55%
Compare venues· Elaine Pelino
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 55% | -15pt | $112.2 | $3K | 20 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi90% match · verified | Low | 70% | 0pt | $1 | $5.4K | 20 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?
1.0 pts1y
-1.0pt69.3%
29.7%
1%
45 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$11.7K
24h Vol$1
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
- If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$112Jul 227d of dataJul 28
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This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
- If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.