PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Dune: Part Three 50%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$16.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Aug 6, 26, 7:19 PM UTCMar 14, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Oscar nominees: Best Visual Effects
KalshiOscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
PolymarketOscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner
PolymarketOscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Polymarket[WAY TOO EARLY] Best Picture winner? (2027 Oscars)
Manifold MarketsWhich 2026 movie will win the Oscar for Best Animated Feature at the 2027 Oscars
Manifold MarketsRules
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film.
- For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
- This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
- If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
- In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
- If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $212.1K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+7.0pt45%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner?
- Polymarket prices Dune: Part Three at 50% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner resolve?
- Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner is scheduled to resolve on March 14, 2027.
- How is Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film.