Current implied probability
Ed Miliband 55%+2.0%Leader of 37 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$11.8K
Liquidity
$236.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
24.0% / 31.0%
Spread
29.2%
Wide spread7d Change
-16.0%
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jun 23, 26, 1:46 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Ed Miliband55%
Compare venues· Ed Miliband
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Smarkets
Next Foreign Secretary In 2026
53.8%
5.1%
40 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.8K
24h Vol$479
SMARKETS
Also available on Kalshi
Who will be the next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?
5mo
+8.0%19%
-5.0%7%
6%
+3 more outcomes
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$7.4K
24h Vol$587.5
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch.
- Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.2k67.0%POLYMARKETNo0x17ed…c08714d ago
POLYMARKETNo0x17ed…c08714d agoVolume trend
$11.8kJul 216d of dataJul 17
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This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Foreign Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch.
- Any interim or caretaker Foreign Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Foreign Secretary is appointed, or Yvette Cooper is re-appointed as Foreign Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Foreign Secretary in 2026”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.