PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No release by November 30 · —
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Stored reference
No release by November 30 45%Leader of 29 outcomes
No release by November 30 45%Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$11.5K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$1.2K
Bid / Ask
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No release by November 30Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Nov 3, 26, 9:02 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · No release by November 30
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date?
PolymarketWill Meta release Muse Spark 1.4 (or any higher-numbered Muse Spark) by November 30, 2026?
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LimitlessRules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public.
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
- The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website.
