Will Meta release Muse Spark 1.4 (or any higher-numbered Muse Spark) by November 30, 2026?
TechOne-Off28dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 60%
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Market data
Updated 30 minutes ago
Oct 31, 26, 8:37 AM UTCDec 1, 26, 7:59 AM UTC
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Rules
Meta's Superintelligence Labs has shipped a numbered Muse Spark line through 2026: Muse Spark (April 8), Muse Spark 1.1 (July 9), Muse Spark 1.2, then Muse Spark 1.3 (September 2, available in Muse Code and the Meta Model API).
- Since then Meta has shipped other Muse-branded models, but no new numbered Spark version as of October 31.
- Resolves YES if, between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM Pacific, Meta officially releases a model named Muse Spark with a version number higher than 1.3 (for example Muse Spark 1.4, 1.5 or 2), usable by the public or by API customers.
- Counts as official: a post on ai.meta.com/blog, about.fb.com/news, the Meta Model API docs or changelog, or an official Meta / AI at Meta account on X or Threads.
- Does NOT count:
- Models with a different name (Wonder, Muse Spark Open, Muse Code features, any non-Spark Muse model)
